Why it's critical investors understand why opportunities present themselves
Note: This interview was recorded on Thursday 26 September 2024.
In investing, it's really important to figure out how you identify mispriced opportunities. But, it's even more important that investors understand why these opportunities present themselves.
That's according to Richard Schoenfeld, a Director at KKR, who notes that his investment process has completely changed over the last decade by taking this one learning on board.
"I think that was something I under-appreciated in my early years - the supply and demand of capital, the technicals in the market," he says.
"What is creating buying activity and what is creating selling activity is just as important as identifying where the opportunity is."
So, why are opportunities presenting themselves in tradable credit markets today? As Schoenfeld explains, the market currently looks expensive from a spread perspective at the headline level. But take a closer look and there's a lot of dispersion beneath the surface.
"What I mean by dispersion is it's a winners and losers type of market. You've got companies that are performing well and have been fully embraced in the market. The other end of the spectrum though is where there's volatility in performance or underperformance, we're seeing true weakness in how those credits are being accepted," he says.
"For a strategy like ours, which looks like a credit picker strategy or a stock picker-like strategy, we can find real opportunity in some of those unloved names or unloved sectors."
In this Views from the Top interview, Schoenfeld shares how credit markets have shifted over the last two years, explains why spreads have become tight, and why he believes that high-yield bonds can no longer be considered "junk" as they once were.
He also outlines where he is seeing cracks starting to appear in the market, why this could be an opportunity, and the impact of the private credit market boom on tradable credit investors.
Timecodes
- 0:00 - Introduction
- 0:26 - Valuations today compared to history
- 1:04 - Macro environment and how this impacts opportunity and risk
- 1:48 - Has high yield been impacted in a rising rate environment
- 2:36 - How resilient are high-yield companies
- 3:42 - Where the cracks are starting to appear
- 5:03 - Forced selling and arbitrage opportunities
- 6:44 - Relative value globally
- 8:07 - Something the market is getting wrong today
- 10:20 - How private market boom impacts tradable credit
- 11:48 - What this means for investors
- 12:08 - Richard Schoenfeld's view from the top
3 topics
1 stock mentioned
2 funds mentioned
1 contributor mentioned