Why this ASX medtech stock is dominating the competition

How ResMed is steadily becoming a more dominant player in the global OSA duopoly
Jacob Celermajer

Cordis Asset Management

While investors remain heavily focused on the GLP-1 story and its impact on total addressable markets across sectors ranging from MedTech to fast food, ResMed's improving competitive positioning seems to have been forgotten about. The best companies that we analyse can silence the noise and concentrate on the controllables, like winning market share and improving efficiencies. In this regard, we believe that ResMed (ASX: RMD) has become a far more dominant player in the global obstructive sleep apnoea (OSA) duopoly while its key competitor, Philips Respironics (NYSE: PHG), cannot stop tripping over its own feet.

With a rich history of innovation, Philips and RMD have been at the forefront of sleep therapy for many decades. RMD, founded in 1989 in Australia, and Philips, which purchased the Respironics brand originally founded in 1976, have revolutionised sleep apnoea treatment with their cutting-edge devices. Their current models - RMD's AirSense 11 and Philips' Dreamstation 2 - are state-of-the-art devices that have improved patients' lives with features like sleep tracking data and cloud connectivity. While both companies continue to innovate, Philips' recent string of setbacks has given the green light to RMD to take share and entrench their dominant position in the OSA category.

For Philips, the series of own goals started with a Class 1 device recall (the most serious type of FDA-issued recall) in early 2021 and has been an ongoing issue ever since, claiming the scalp of it’s former CEO, Frans van Houten, and embroiling the company in litigation that will cost more than US$479m in settlement fees.

Philips has since been issued 11 FDA Class 1 device recalls and still seems to be far away from a full market return. In October the US Food & Drug Administration (FDA) called for further testing to be done by Philips to evaluate the risks of soundproofing foam used in its recalled sleep apnoea machines and ventilators.

“We (the FDA) do not believe that the testing and analysis Philips has shared to date are adequate to fully evaluate the risks posed to users from the recalled devices”

And since the first recall, Philips has also been under increased scrutiny across all their product lines. Just last week the FDA issued a warning to patients and healthcare providers to carefully monitor Philips DreamStation 2 continuous positive airway pressure (CPAP) machines for signs of overheating. A little bit further back in August, the FDA identified a voluntary correction of Philips’ V60 Ventilators as another Class 1 recall. This ongoing slew of regulatory concerns will stop Philips from challenging ResMed in any serious way while they get their house in order.

With sleep apnoea device treatment penetration rates in the US only ~20%, and well below this level globally, there clearly remains significant room for this market to grow, wherever you sit on the GLP-1 forecast curve.

Resmed continues to strategically strengthen its market position with continued growth and innovation amidst the share market’s preoccupation with GLP-1. Once the noise and hype surrounding the GLP-1 class of drugs subside and fundamentals begin to take front and centre again, investors can expect to see a more dominant version of ResMed than they have seen for years.

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This report was prepared by Cordis Asset Management Pty Ltd ABN 68 637 078 490 a corporate authorised representative (No. 1282680) of Avenir Capital Pty Ltd ACN 150 790 355, AFSL 405469 ("Cordis")”, the investment manager for the Cordis Medical Technology Fund (“Fund”). Equity Trustees Limited (“Equity Trustees”) ABN 46 004 031 298 AFSL No. 240975, is a subsidiary of EQT Holdings Limited ABN 22 607 797 615, a publicly listed company on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX:EQT), and is the Responsible Entity of the Fund. This document has been prepared for the purpose of providing general information only, without taking account of any individual person’s investment objectives, financial circumstances or needs. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of this document, no warranty is given as to its accuracy and persons relying on this information do so at their own risk. The information contained in this document is not intended to be relied upon as a forecast and is not a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or to adopt any investment strategy, nor is it investment advice. Any forwarding-looking statements or forecasts are based on reasonable assumptions, but cannot be relied upon as guarantees or representation as to what future performance will actually occur. Unless otherwise specified, the information contained in this document is current as at the date of issue and all amounts are in Australian Dollars (AUD). You should consider the Product Disclosure Statement (“PDS”) in deciding whether to acquire, or continue to hold, the product. A PDS and application form is available at www.cordisam.com. Cordis and Equity Trustees do not guarantee the performance of the Fund or the repayment of the investor’s capital. To the extent permitted by law, neither Equity Trustees, Cordis, nor any of their related parties including its employees, directors, consultants, advisers, officers or authorised representatives, are liable for any loss or damage (including consequential loss or damage) arising directly or indirectly as a result of reliance placed on the contents of this report. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. The unit price performance calculation methodology follows the FSC Standard No.6: Investment Option Performance - Calculation of Returns (July 2018). Total returns are calculated based on changes in net asset values, at the exit price after the deduction of fees and expenses. Due to individual circumstances, your net returns may differ from the net returns quoted above.

2 stocks mentioned

Jacob Celermajer
Portfolio Manager
Cordis Asset Management

Cordis is a boutique Australian fund manager focused on the medical technology sector. As Australia's pre-eminent medical technology investment manager, we try to understand the nuance of medtech by building our circle of competence deep rather...

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