Sunset Strip | Aussie Afternoon Institutional Market Wrap

Market fell on the open with uncertain central bank outlook before trading sideways and choppy for the rest of the day. US job data tonight will be key catalyst short term. We remain of the view that we should see some economic weakness into the election while US Fed will continue to move towards a Dec rate hike. ECB hinted that they may start to taper QE slightly from the end of the current QE program ending early 2017. ECB may be hinting, but with Brexit in play and Italian referendum to leave EU in early Dec means that ECB is more likely to extend QE program than curb it by early 2017. Since there has been no data improvement after the raft of downgrades put through in Sep by US Fed, the probability of a rate rise before the US elections are very low at best. We see the worries are overblown and the market will work through these short term panic selloffs. Despite the recent panic, the local market has delivered 3rd straight positive week!!! (VIEW LINK)