A re-acceleration in US growth may be the catalyst for a broad drop in financial markets

Livewire
Bonds look especially vulnerable to any upside surprise in inflation and/or re-acceleration of US growth which mean rates go up faster than currently expected. Given historically low yields, tight spreads and still extreme leverage, the risk/reward for bonds looks unattractive, and perhaps now reflects a degree of complacency and over-confidence in central banks. Of course US equities would not be immune from any correction in bond markets, especially in light of their vulnerability to a rising US dollar, and we see better relative value in Europe and Asia as this plays out. That said U.S. equities can ultimately continue to rise over the medium term as improved economic fundamentals drive corporate revenues and underpin valuations. (VIEW LINK)
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Livewire News brings you a wide range of financial insights with a focus on Global Macro, Fixed Income, Currencies and Commodities.
Expertise
No areas of expertise