Capital Economics on gold prices
![](https://assets.livewiremarkets.com/rails/active_storage/representations/proxy/eyJfcmFpbHMiOnsibWVzc2FnZSI6IkJBaHBBckVIIiwiZXhwIjpudWxsLCJwdXIiOiJibG9iX2lkIn19--2f5048016ded36c569f038b5029ce465f32850d5/eyJfcmFpbHMiOnsibWVzc2FnZSI6IkJBaDdCem9MWm05eWJXRjBTU0lJYW5CbkJqb0dSVlE2RTNKbGMybDZaVjkwYjE5bWFXeHNXd2RwQWNocEFjZz0iLCJleHAiOm51bGwsInB1ciI6InZhcmlhdGlvbiJ9fQ==--d4026b52d9aa7a676b3d70dbe31c85d930184392/19293a8.jpg)
Livewire Markets
Capital Economics say that the gold price could fall as low as $850 per ounce in a worst-case scenario. Their base case is that prices should find good support only a little below current levels (our end-Q3 forecast is $1,050) and will actually end the year higher (at $1,200). The chart below may be of interest when thinking about this. It comes from Macrotrends (VIEW LINK) and shows historical data for real (inflation-adjusted) gold prices back to 1915. The series is deflated using the headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) with the most recent month as the base.
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![Matthew Wright](https://assets.livewiremarkets.com/rails/active_storage/representations/proxy/eyJfcmFpbHMiOnsibWVzc2FnZSI6IkJBaHBBckVIIiwiZXhwIjpudWxsLCJwdXIiOiJibG9iX2lkIn19--2f5048016ded36c569f038b5029ce465f32850d5/eyJfcmFpbHMiOnsibWVzc2FnZSI6IkJBaDdCem9MWm05eWJXRjBTU0lJYW5CbkJqb0dSVlE2RTNKbGMybDZaVjkwYjE5bWFXeHNXd2RwQWNocEFjZz0iLCJleHAiOm51bGwsInB1ciI6InZhcmlhdGlvbiJ9fQ==--d4026b52d9aa7a676b3d70dbe31c85d930184392/19293a8.jpg)
Matt has over 10 years’ experience in financial markets and is currently a successful Proprietary Trader with Epoch, trading interest rate and equity derivatives. Matt managed relative value interest rate books for large SFE locals in his early...
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![Matthew Wright](https://assets.livewiremarkets.com/rails/active_storage/representations/proxy/eyJfcmFpbHMiOnsibWVzc2FnZSI6IkJBaHBBckVIIiwiZXhwIjpudWxsLCJwdXIiOiJibG9iX2lkIn19--2f5048016ded36c569f038b5029ce465f32850d5/eyJfcmFpbHMiOnsibWVzc2FnZSI6IkJBaDdCem9MWm05eWJXRjBTU0lJYW5CbkJqb0dSVlE2RTNKbGMybDZaVjkwYjE5bWFXeHNXd2RwQWNocEFjZz0iLCJleHAiOm51bGwsInB1ciI6InZhcmlhdGlvbiJ9fQ==--d4026b52d9aa7a676b3d70dbe31c85d930184392/19293a8.jpg)
Matt has over 10 years’ experience in financial markets and is currently a successful Proprietary Trader with Epoch, trading interest rate and equity derivatives. Matt managed relative value interest rate books for large SFE locals in his early...
Expertise
No areas of expertise