TOL - 18th Jan, 2024
How Olev Rahn helped Bankers Trust survive the 1987 crash (and where he sees markets in 2024)
How to spot a bubble with a market veteran who saw the big one coming in 1987
In 1987, Olev Rahn was pounding the streets of New York's financial district, meeting with Wall Street's best strategists. Rahn, who was running BT Financial's institutional business Pendal, felt distinctly uneasy about the exuberance gripping financial markets. It felt like a giant bubble, and the deeper he dug, the more convinced he became that a reckoning was just around the corner.
Rahn's instincts proved spot on as markets cratered on October 19th 1987 (what we now call Black Monday). A combination of put options and futures selling saw BT breeze through the '87 crash while others crumbled. From that moment, BT was the main game in town. Billions flowed into the coffers and it was the number one money manager in Australia. Rahn remained a key force until BT Australia was sold to the principal group for $2.1 billion in 1999.
In this episode of Success and More Interesting Stuff, Rahn discusses the growth of BT Financial in Australia, the key figures that were instrumental in building the firm, and how he, and his colleagues, navigated the 1987 crash. Rahn also shares his views on markets in 2024 and why he is happy to have some cash at hand.
Time stamps
- 0:00 - Introduction
- 3:10 - Early life and leaving Estonia
- 8:15 - Developing an interest in economics
- 9:49 - An opportunity with Ord Minett and the XYZ method of research
- 15:13 - A move to London on the back of booming markets
- 20:03 - A call with Chris Corrigan and bringing active management to Australia
- 25:05 - Good performance leads to rapid growth Keating
- 30:41 - Kerr Neilson and Jillian Broadbent join BT as it becomes a powerhouse
- 34:15 - 1987 and the era of corporate excess
- 38:54 - The strategies Olev Rahn used to protect BT from the crash of 1987
- 42:00 - The signs of exuberance prior to the 1987 crash
- 47:39 - A golden era for Bankers Trust
- 50:00 - Olev Rahn’s views on markets in 2024
More episodes
Funds
How 'The Speculator's Diary' got Ben Griffiths hooked on small caps
View
Equities
Graham ‘Skroo’ Turner shares the highs and lows of Flight Centre and his 50 years in travel
View
Education
The CEO who kicked the incumbents to the curb (and delivered investors a +4000% return in the process)
View
Never miss an update
Enjoy this wire? Hit the ‘like’ button to let us know.
Stay up to date with my current content by
following me below and you’ll be notified every time I post a wire
Matthew is the Principal and Portfolio Manager at Centennial Asset Management. Prior to this, Matthew was the CIO at Wilson Asset Management between 1998 and 2011, achieving 18% p.a. over the period.
........
Livewire gives readers access to information and educational content provided by financial services professionals and companies ("Livewire Contributors"). Livewire does not operate under an Australian financial services licence and relies on the exemption available under section 911A(2)(eb) of the Corporations Act 2001 (Cth) in respect of any advice given. Any advice on this site is general in nature and does not take into consideration your objectives, financial situation or needs. Before making a decision please consider these and any relevant Product Disclosure Statement. Livewire has commercial relationships with some Livewire Contributors.
3 topics
Comments
Comments
Sign In or Join Free to comment
most popular
Equities
The 7 zombie companies lurking on the ASX 300
Livewire Markets
Equities
18 stocks backed by a fund that returned 42% in 12 months
Livewire Markets