March Podcasts: It's Hard To Kill A Banking Crisis, Is A Banking Crisis Underway?, The Smashed Aussie Economy, Why India Is Not The Next China and A Sectoral Guide To Surviving The Business Cycle

It’s Hard To Kill A Banking Crisis

It feels like stock markets are standing at the top of a very slippery slope. No guarantees that stock markets will fall, but the risks are certainly elevated.

We are back with banks again in this podcast. Nucleus Wealth’s Chief Investment Officer, Damien Klassen, Chief Strategist, David Llewellyn-Smith and Senior Financial Adviser, Samuel Kerr, looked at this unfolding issue.

Agenda:

• Background
• This time is different
• Three paths forward
• What to watch
• Where to hide
• Investment implications

Watch the episode here.

Is A Banking Crisis Underway?

Back in early march we US we saw a number of regional banks run into issues and have dramatic falls in share price. The selloff spread to some of the largest US banks, with JP Morgan, Bank of America and Wells Fargo falling over 5%. Bond yields tumbled (bond prices rose).

This could be the precursor to a deeper banking crisis. We ran through the issues and the effect on portfolios.

In this investment podcast, Nucleus Wealth’s Chief Investment Officer, Damien Klassen, Chief Operating Officer, Shelley George and Senior Financial Adviser, Samuel Kerr discuss this breaking update.

Agenda:

• Background
• Commercial Property
• Banking standards tightening
• Insolvencies are back
• Delayed effect of interest rate rises
• Valuation
• Investment implications

Watch the episode here.

Special Episode – Is A Banking Crisis Underway? Part 2

As these things often do, the Silicon Valley Bank situation escalated quickly. Is this a sign that the Federal Reserve has raised rates until they broke something?

In this special episode, Nucleus Wealth’s Chief Investment Officer, Damien Klassen and Chief Operating Officer, Shelley George lifted the lid on what's happening in the US banking system.

Watch the episode here.

The Smashed Aussie Economy

Given the inflation and GDP numbers in the past weeks, we thought it was worth an emergency look at the emerging crisis in the Australian economy.

In this podcast Nucleus Wealth’s Chief Investment Officer, Damien Klassen, Chief Strategist, David Llewellyn-Smith and Senior Financial Adviser, Samuel Kerr looked at this breaking update.

Agenda:

• GDP fading fast
• Consumer income and wealth squeeze
• China won’t save us
• Fiscal and monetary impulses negative
• The outlook for 2023 and asset markets

Watch the episode here.

Why India Is Not The Next China

This week we discussed a number of myths around the rise of India. Most importantly, there is a common misconception that as China goes into decline, India will rise to take its place and Australian exports will continue to grow.

We do not believe this is broadly the case (although there are some sectors where India-Australia trade will grow) and we looked at the reasons why in detail.

In this podcast, Nucleus Wealth’s Chief Investment Officer, Damien Klassen, Chief Economist, Leith van Onselen and Senior Financial Adviser, Samuel Kerr, debunked some of the myths around the rise of India.

Agenda:

Watch the episode here.

A Sectoral Guide To Surviving The Business Cycle

There is debate over what point we are in the cycle. Depending on where we are, there are different stocks that you want to own. Value, growth, defensive, quality stocks – all have benefits at different points in the cycle.

In this investment podcast, Nucleus Wealth’s Chief Investment Officer, Damien Klassen and Senior Financial Adviser, Samuel Kerr, looked at different arguments and how stocks have performed in the past.

Watch the episode here.