The Match Out: ASX flat as Sohn Conference dominates news flow

The daily Match Out for Friday 17 November 2023 with James Gerrish of Market Matters
James Gerrish

Market Matters

It was a muted finish to the week, with winners and losers split fairly evenly on the ASX200. Materials were on the winning side, supported by strength in iron ore and gold, offset by further weakness in Energy which continued to slide on higher crude inventory levels in the US. The main index finished the week up +72pts / +1.05%, a strong result particularly given the sizable ex-dividends from NAB & ANZ.

  • The ASX 200 finished down -9pts/ -0.13% to 7049
  • The Industrials sector was best on ground (+0.45%), joined in the black by Tech (+0.43%), Materials (+0.36%) & Healthcare (+0.30%)
  • Energy (-1.59%) once again struggling. Consumer Discretionary (-1.04%) and Utilities (-1.03%) were the other notable underperformers.
  • The yearly Sohn Hearts & Minds conference was held in Sydney today with many leading fund managers calling out their top picks for equities. Cancer diagnostics and treatment firm Telix Pharmaceuticals (ASX: TLX) +4.22% & global Uranium company Nexgen Energy (ASX: NXG) +4.84% were two key ASX stocks called out by presenters.
  • Nuix (ASX: NXL) -7.17% struggled ahead of their court date with ASIC kicking off on Monday. The regulator is claiming the investigative data analytics company fell short of their disclosure obligations in 2021.
  • Lendlease (ASX: LLC) +2.24% held their AGM today, highlighting the changing nature of their business, moving to a lower risk, higher return investment-led operation that we expect will double earnings in FY24. We increased our LLC position this week in the Active Growth Portfolio
  • Steadfast (ASX: SDF) -3.33% after completing a $280m institutional placement at $5.14, the stock closed today at $5.23.
  • Centuria Capital (ASX: CNI) +2.93% capped off a good week with their AGM, reaffirming guidance. Shares are up 14% this week while UBS highlighted them as one of their top 5 highest-ranked property stocks for exposure to the ‘peak rates’ thematic.
  • Iron Ore rallied ~1% in China despite pressure from regulators announced yesterday.
  • Gold was up 0.25% at $US1,985/oz in Asia, continuing overnight’s $US20 rally.
  • A mixed bag for stocks across the region today. Japan’s Nikkei was up 0.25% but China fell -0.2% and Hong Kong -2.15%.
  • A mixed session is also expected tonight based on US futures – Nasdaq is marginally weaker but the S&P500 expected to start with a small gain.

ASX 200 index

Sectors this week (Source: Bloomberg)

Stocks this week (Source: Bloomberg)

Broker moves

  • Duratec Rated New Buy at Moelis & Company; PT A$1.50
  • a2 Milk Raised to Outperform at Forsyth Barr; PT NZ$5.20
  • a2 Milk Raised to Buy at Citi; PT NZ$5.20
  • Karoon Energy Raised to Overweight at Barrenjoey; PT A$2.53
  • a2 Milk Raised to Neutral at Goldman; PT NZ$4.25
  • GrainCorp Raised to Buy at Jefferies; PT A$9.25
  • Altium Cut to Hold at Jefferies; PT A$47.08
  • AMP Cut to Hold at Jefferies; PT 97 Australian cents
  • Woodside Energy Cut to Sell at Citi; PT A$26.50

Major movers today

Have a great weekend,

The Market Matters team.

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James Gerrish
Portfolio Manager
Market Matters

James is the Lead Portfolio Manager & primary author at Market Matters, a digital advice & investment platform with over 2500 members that offers real market intel & portfolios open for investment. He is also a Senior Portfolio Manager at Shaw and...

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