The Match Out: Choppy session to kick off the new month, Premier Investments rallies on AGM comments

The Match Out for Friday 1 December with James Gerrish of Market Matters.
James Gerrish

Market Matters

A choppy day to kick off the first day of the month with the market soft early, the ASX200 down 40pts at the lows, only to recover most of the declines before the close – not a bad effort for a Friday and another sign that markets have a bullish tone to them after a great November.

  • The ASX200 managed a gain of 32pts/+0.46% this week, with Tech and Healthcare as the standouts.
  • The ASX 200 finished down -14pts/-0.20% at 7083.
  • The Energy sector (+0.12%) was the only one in the black
  • • IT (-1.086%), Staples (-0.84%) & Consumer Discretionary (-0.81%) the biggest drag
  • November was a great month for equities after a poor September/October period – the +4.5% advance by the ASX shows how important it is to stay the course.
  • Pilbara Minerals (ASX: PLS) -0.82% as AusSuper takes a 5% stake – with 19% of the stock short sold, this is a stock firmly back on our radar.
  • Core Lithium (ASX: CXO) -3.57% on the other hand was lower on a downgrade to sell rating from Citi.
  • Premier Investment (ASX: PMV) +2.83% rallied as they held their AGM saying Black Friday sales were the best ever.
  • Mesoblast (ASX: MSB) halted is raising $98 million through Bells – not long ago they upgraded the stock, and now we know why!
  • Iron Ore was higher in Asia, up 1.25%
  • Gold edged up US$3 during our time zone today, trading at US$2040 at our close.
  • Asian stocks were soft, Hong Kong -0.50%, Japan -0.06% while China lost 1%.
  • US Futures are largely flat

ASX 200 index

Sectors this week (Source: Bloomberg)

Stocks this week (Source: Bloomberg)

Premier Investments (ASX: PMV $25.11

PMV +2.83%: despite a soft backdrop for retailers, Premier continues to show resilience in its earnings based on a positive update at the company’s AGM. Solomon Lew’s retail group noted cost of living pressures were having an impact on the consumer however the company had a record sales week over the ‘Black Friday’ period across their brands which include Just Jeans, Peter Alexander & Smiggle. Given the strong start to the year, Premier now expects EBIT for the 1H to be ~$200m in their retail division, 10% above consensus expectations, the caveat is that key Christmas and Back to School sales periods remain with the half-year wrapping up in January. The EBIT guideline doesn’t include contributions from their investments in Myer (MYR) and Breville Group (BRG) where Premier owns ~25% of each. Looking ahead, the market is after more commentary regarding plans to restructure the business, hoping to unlock value given the broad range of brands and investments within the company.

Broker moves

  • Fortescue Cut to Hold at Jefferies; PT A$23.90
  • Allkem Cut to Hold at Jefferies; PT A$8.50
  • Gold Road Cut to Hold at Jefferies; PT A$2.10
  • Iress Raised to Overweight at Wilsons; PT A$8.16 
  • F&P Healthcare Cut to Underweight at Jarden Securities; PT NZ$22
  • Iress Raised to Outperform at Macquarie; PT A$8.35
  • Kinatico Ltd Rated New Outperform at Taylor Collison
  • MaxiPARTS Ltd Rated New Outperform at Taylor Collison; PT A$3.40
  • Antisense Reinstated Outperform at Taylor Collison
  • Desane Reinstated Outperform at Taylor Collison

Major movers today

Enjoy the night,
The Market Matters team.

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James Gerrish
Portfolio Manager
Market Matters

James is the Lead Portfolio Manager & primary author at Market Matters, a digital advice & investment platform with over 2500 members that offers real market intel & portfolios open for investment. He is also a Senior Portfolio Manager at Shaw and...

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