ECONOMIC CYCLE

We look at data, the economic cycle, and outlooks from fund managers and research houses in an attempt to answer that question.

Sometimes it seems the economics profession operates in a parallel universe.

Global share markets are always driven by both structural change and the economic cycle to some degree. It is the weighting of the two drivers that varies over time....

The neutral rate of interest appears to be rising as households spend more and save less, while business investment levels rise. This will impact borrowing costs,...

In December, the ‘Value trade’ continued to do well as the US Federal Reserve made the environment for the style more conducive by signalling inflation concerns and...

Momentum in global growth has unexpectedly softened in recent months. Persistent supply chain disruptions are hampering production, slowing spending and delaying...

For the first time in over a decade, a new economic cycle may be underway – a ‘reflation’ cycle characterised by faster economic growth, higher inflation and ongoing...

Value investors are hailing the beginning of a new era, with many throwing their hard-earned cash at cyclical stocks, such as industrials and retailers, as pandemic...

Equity markets have reached new highs as economies around the world emerge from slowdowns forced by COVID-19. Demand for digital infrastructure and recent commitments...

When it comes to investor psychology, the Ancient Greeks knew what they were talking about. They categorised people as either hedgehogs or foxes. Foxes, they said,...