Macroeconomic

Markets are hoping for a soft landing, but they are notoriously rare. I take a look at whether we will get one, and what to do if we don't.

Recently good news has been bad news. Why is this, and are we about to enter into a new cycle where good news becomes good news again?

Markets love a narrative. But the host of competing narratives leaves equities exposed to downside risk. Remain defensive to manage risk.

After three years of lockdowns, China has officially signaled its intention to join the rest of the world in living with COVID.

“Having badly misjudged the strength of inflation over the past year, central banks are now anxious to convey the message that they are determined not to repeat the...

At the latest Crestone Investment Forum, held on 22 February 2022, we asked panelists to share their views on the likely path of markets and the global economy in...

At the latest Crestone Investment Forum, held on 22 February 2022, we asked panelists to share their views on the likely path of markets and the global economy in...

Short-term events have been put under the microscope recently. Conflict, supply-chain shortages and inflation have all contributed to inevitable rate hikes and rampant...

Increasing regulatory scrutiny is feeding uncertainty in the Chinese equity markets and has once again raised the question of whether the local Chinese equity market...

In the AFR this weekend I write that if the RBA’s powerful board was considering the possibility of pre-emptively tapering its monetary policy stimulus, recent...

An even-bet chance of a “hot war” with China poses a grave threat to Australian investors and the economy overall, warns Coolabah Capital’s Christopher Joye. “We’ve...

Halfway through a year that will get recorded in the history books as epic and ironically it feels like we have come to a fork in the road as governments, central...

The recent optimism pervading the global macroeconomic backdrop over the last month suffered some harsh reality last week as the landscape continued to provide...

We have seen the second sizeable sell-off this year. The SP500 has dropped -7.80% in October (so far), not quite matching the fall of -11.8% in Jan-Feb 2018. The...

With markets pulling back over the past few weeks, many investors are wondering whether this is the beginnings of a bear market. Today I wanted to discuss these trends...

If you were to analyse every major debt crisis in the world over the last 100 years, what would you learn? What patterns would emerge? Well Ray Dalio, the founder of...