US yield curve

The Goldilocks scenario has enjoyed a big rally this year, blissfully ignorant of the three economic bears returning home

High inflation and unsustainably low unemployment echo the inverted yield curve in signalling a high risk of a US recession.

One of the accepted truisms in modern finance is that a lot of information can be derived from the yield curve. The US yield curve A positive sloping curve (as...

The yield on the 10-year bond recently fell below the yield on the 5-year bond. This is very unusual. Normally, the longer the duration of the bond, the higher the...

The origin of the term "crying" for Auctioneers followed a time when Roman soldiers would thrust spears into the ground to signal the start of the sale of auctions for...

Worries about economic recession, subdued inflation and a flight to quality have led interest rates in the U.S. to plummet in recent weeks. The flight to safety has...

Marcelo López spoke with Vimal Gor, head of Fixed Income and Defensive Strategies at Pendal Group, an independent Australian asset manager with about US$100 billion in...

An inverted US yield curve has successfully predicted every US recession in the last 60 years. No wonder we have been fielding questions about what a flattening, or...

There’s been a lot of talk of inverted yield curves in the US and whether they portend a recession or a stock market crash. But, I wonder whether we need to watch the...

Let’s start by reviewing what the yield curve actually is. Consider a range of durations for government notes, for example, you can have 3-month notes, 1-year notes,...

Looking at news headlines, there seems to be a growing consensus of an impending recession by 2020. To support this view, many have pointed towards a flattening yield...

The gold price in USD fell by 3% in the first half of August, declining below critical support at USD $1200oz, though it has since bounced back above this level. The...

One of most reliable early warning indicators of an impending equity bear market is the shape of the US yield curve. When short-term interest rates are higher than...