Trending On Livewire: Weekend Edition - Saturday 22nd February

Earnings season has been brutal, with banks and miners struggling—can an RBA rate cut soften the blow?
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Livewire Markets

This week was all about reporting season as we waded through a deluge of results on Super Tuesday and Thursday. There were knee-jerk reactions, and there will be longer-term repercussions.

MinRes had a shocker, falling 20% on results and putting an exclamation point on a downtrend that has seen it fall from near $80 to below $30 in less than a year. Much was made of BHP paying the lowest interim dividend in eight years, but we must remember it’s a cyclical stock, and it appears to be keeping its balance sheet healthy for future projects – which is what investors should really want from a mining company.

Having a better time of things were HUB24 and Netwealth, with both platform businesses rallying on strong fund flows and bullish market conditions. Then we arrive at the banks. While only CBA (which reported last week) and BEN (which had a stinker, down 14%) reported in cycle, a combination of soft results and/or stretched valuations has seen the sector peak, with all the big four down between ~5-15% recently. Have we seen the top for a while? Quite possibly. But then again, many a fool has been made betting against them.

So far, reporting season could best be described as ‘mixed’, and that’s probably being generous. With the two major planks of our market – the banks and miners – sputtering and rolling off the top respectively, we’re on track for one of the worst earnings seasons in the last couple of years.

Lacklustre results and softer earnings were always the concern this reporting season, particularly given the lofty expectations and the market trading near all-time highs. Hey, at least the RBA finally cut rates this week. If not for that, things might have been even worse.

Chris Conway, Managing Editor, Livewire Markets


BHP's latest numbers belie a strong growth pipeline



BHP’s latest dividend announcement—just $0.50 per share—has raised eyebrows, especially after years of blockbuster payouts. But is this a cause for concern, or a smart play for the future? In this exclusive interview, BHP CFO Vandita Pant unpacks the company’s strategy, balancing shareholder returns with long-term investments in copper, potash, and iron ore. With $83 billion returned to investors since 2016, BHP remains committed to rewarding shareholders—but as Pant explains, future-proofing the business is just as crucial. Don’t miss this deep dive into BHP’s vision and what it means for investors.

READ | WATCH


FNArena reporting season monitor: February 2025 - Week 3 (155 stocks covered)

Welcome to the third weekly report for the February 2025 results season. The FNArena Reporting Season Monitor reports ratings, consensus price target changes, and brief summaries of the collective responses from FNArena's database of brokers for each of the stocks covered. The latest update is now available for download, with coverage of the 155 stocks that have reported results in February. You can access the full PDF in the attachment at the bottom of this wire. Readers should be aware that it doesn't matter what profit or loss has resulted from a company. What's important is how the stock fared against consensus forecasts – whether management delivered a "miss" or a "beat".

FIND OUT MORE


Top 3 Wires this Week

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Some of the best wires from our Contributors this week

Chart of the Week: Staying awake has just cost a little more

Source: TradingView
Source: TradingView

As the Livewire team prepared for Pro Medicus’s results, one angle stood out - valuation. While PE ratios don’t tell the whole story, they remain a fundamental tool for assessing how richly a stock is priced and whether its growth potential justifies the premium.

That’s when my colleague Kerry Sun and I decided to crunch the numbers on the ASX’s most expensive stock. The result? A staggering 364x PE ratio—higher than even NVIDIA, the poster child of the AI boom.

To make sense of this, I spoke with Jun Bei Liu, co-founder of the newly minted TenCap. She shared the critical insights PME skeptics need to understand why, despite its sky-high valuation, the company still deserves a place in investors’ portfolios.

Chris Conway , Senior Editor, Livewire Markets


Weekly Poll

What have you made of reporting season so far and how is your portfolio faring?

a) It has been great, all my holding have crushed it and my portfolio has pushed ahead
b) Even Steven for me: some winners, some losers – it has really been a mixed bag
c) Not good. Landmines have been going off left and right, and I’m about to be carried out on a stretcher
d) Not much impact yet, a lot of my holdings are yet to report

VOTE NOW


LAST WEEKS POLL RESULTS

We asked "Investing in property is critical to building real wealth. What's your take?"

The poll shows 47% prefer shares over property, 32% see a mixed market, and 21% view property as the best wealth-building tool.

SEE RESULTS BREAKDOWN


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