US Recession

US GDP could contract in Q1 as consumer spending broadly stalls on higher actual/expected inflation and fears of higher unemployment

The Michigan survey showed consumer unemployment expectations at recession-like levels with a tariff-driven spike in inflation expectations.

But rest assured, even this perma-bear has found good news in a world riddled with problems.

In financial markets, there’s always something to worry about.

Based on recent developments, we believe the likelihood of a recession occurring within the next 9 to 12 months is more likely than not.

US stocks are tumbling and investors are trying to figure out what’s next for the ASX. This indicator may be a critical piece of the puzzle.

The US unemployment rate has edged above most estimates of the NAIRU for the first time since 2021, supporting a Fed rate cut next month.

US unemployment has edged up to almost 4%

Having taken a defensive view to date, the investment bank is now pulling in more risk and argues we’re in an expansionary phase.

We pushed back our recession call to the end of 2023 or first quarter of 2024, despite our US recession probability model remaining high.

Antipodes Partners' portfolio manager, Vihari Ross, shares her rational and open view to investing and finding high-quality value picks.

Leading indicators, weekly earnings and hours worked, GDI and productivity are all falling. That’s bad for Aussie as well as U.S. equities.

Is a US recession your base case? In this wire, Macquarie analysts name the stocks they're backing in this scenario.

After a 4.65% increase in interest rates this past year, why isn’t the U.S. economy tanking? And why aren’t retail sales plummeting? One reason, perhaps, is that...

Deutsche Bank released its outlook and it’s not good news for bulls. Recession is coming. Brace yourself for 2023.

Soaring inflation, hefty interest rate rises, and worsening consumer sentiment have seen the possibility of a US recession become the greatest "will-they-won't-they"...

Despite a host of challenges, largely outside of its control, this US carmaker delivered a solid result – even if it did reset expectations lower by pre-guiding...

With the US’ M2 growth decelerating sharply, as opposed to inflation, a significant recession should now be the major concern Alongside the US delivering its second...

While the US is technically in a recession, with two negative quarters of GDP growth in the first half of 2022, several leading economists would say otherwise. Look...

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