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Understand the fast-changing domestic and global economic forces under the tectonic plates driving our markets.

Latest: Macro

Macro

QLD's budget "black hole" a catalyst for government action

The new state government is forecasting a substantially worse budget outlook, with a massive increase in public debt.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Trump's first 100 days: Five policies shaping markets in 2025

With an ambitious policy agenda, President Donald Trump's first 100 days in office will provide an early indication of his ability to sustain momentum in delivering on...
Seema Shah
Principal Asset Management
Macro

What has President Trump done so far? (From Tariffs to TikTok!)

From tariffs to immigration, energy and climate, to TikTok - newly elected President Trump has wasted no time in implementing his policies.
AGL
BHP
+17
Carl Capolingua
Livewire Markets
Macro

What’s driven the fall in the Australian Dollar?

And does it threaten inflation and the RBA's hopes of easing monetary policy?
Shane Oliver
AMP
Macro

Investors upbeat on pricey US equities while Europe offers value

Could a rotation out of stocks into bonds be one of 2025’s surprises?
Chris Iggo
AXA Investment Managers
Macro

My economic wishlist for 2025

The AMP team have put together a “wish list” for 2025 of the top five things we hope will happen.
Diana Mousina
AMP
Macro

The US is keeping rate cut hopes alive

The December CPI print delivered a much-needed downside surprise, relieving some of the market anxiety that the U.S. economy is at the beginning of a second inflation...
Seema Shah
Principal Asset Management
Macro

5 reasons for optimism in 2025

2025 is likely to see positive returns but after the strong gains of the last two years, it's likely to be more volatile and constrained.
Shane Oliver
AMP
Macro

U.S. equities: Climbing the valuation wall

Investors enter 2025 with cautious optimism following a stellar 2024 for equities, as stretched valuations and elevated bond yields pose near-term challenges. Despite...
Seema Shah
Principal Asset Management
Macro

The consensus is wrong: America’s economy is chronically ill

Its GDP is growing – but relies upon mammoth, debt-fuelled deficits. Without this “stimulus” the U.S. would’ve been in recession since 2009.
Chris Leithner
Leithner & Company Ltd
Outlook Series

Your 2025 market predictions are in: Insights from nearly 5,000 investors

2024 was a fantastic year for markets. But do our readers think this year will be just as great?
Vishal Teckchandani
Livewire Markets
Outlook Series

From reflation to rotation

We believe President Trump’s policies will be a net negative in the medium and long-run.
Tim Toohey
Yarra Capital Management
Macro

The January effect

After a rare weak December, markets debate the outlook for 2025, with Wall Street bullish but wary of unreliable January signals.
Chris Watling
Longview Economics
Macro

December 2024 Podcasts

Below is a summary of the topics we covered on Nucleus Investment Insights this month. See the links for more information.
Damien Klassen
Nucleus Wealth
Macro

A not-so-serious guide to 2024’s key moments

10 key moments told in memes/cartoons. What could go wrong?
Vishal Teckchandani
Livewire Markets
Macro

Upside risks to inflation are back on the Fed's agenda

The Fed expects inflation will take longer to return to target, with upside risks reflecting recent firmer inflation and Trump policies.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Shifts in the balance of risk and return

Donald Trump’s radical policy agenda has created some financial market uncertainty, in terms of the outlook for investment returns.
Chris Iggo
AXA Investment Managers
Macro

Another Fed rate cut, but policy uncertainty ahead

At its December meeting today, the Federal Open Market Committee decided to lower the benchmark policy rate by 25 basis points to 4.25%-4.50%, its third consecutive...
Seema Shah
Principal Asset Management
Macro

7 remarkable charts that reveal a novel insight for 2025 and beyond

An unlikely combination of Signal or Noise alumni get together and provide insights that can only be summed up in a chart.
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
Macro

ECB cuts rates in move to a dovish tilt

Markets are expecting a further run of consecutive rate cuts over the coming few quarters.
Seema Shah
Principal Asset Management
Macro

Down under & out

Key Points: • Australia's economic performance has deteriorated since mid-2022. Strong population growth is papering over the cracks, but the average household is...
Alex Cathcart
Drummond Capital Partners
Macro

We fed AI 16 outlook reports. It crunched key takeaways, return expectations & contrarian calls

Sixteen major Australian & global research reports distilled into one tidy wire for your viewing pleasure!
Vishal Teckchandani
Livewire Markets
Macro

Inflation risks keep the Fed on edge

The November CPI report aligned with consensus expectations, likely confirming a Fed policy cut next week. Nevertheless, with monthly core inflation hitting its...
Seema Shah
Principal Asset Management
Macro

Long-term returns: Is Trump a threat to equity dominance?

Since the global financial crisis, growth equities have been the overall best performing asset class.
Chris Iggo
AXA Investment Managers
Macro

US inflation firms over recent months

The Fed should forecast fewer rate cuts given firmer inflation, resilient economic growth, and the inflationary impact of Trump policies.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
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