reserve bank of australia

Latest news and analysis on reserve bank of australia

Signal or Noise

Could the RBA not cut interest rates at all?

A new view being espoused in the economics community is raising eyebrows. But does it have any legs?
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
Signal or Noise

These economists say there is just a 15% chance of a recession in Australia in 2024

And where will the Australian Dollar end the year? Find out the answer to this and other questions in the next episode of Signal or Noise!
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
Macro

The Fed cut by 50 basis points. Would the RBA consider doing the same?

The RBA holds rates for another meeting - even as its peers start the long cutting road back to neutral.
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
Macro

The RBA says interest rate cuts are off the table for 2024. These investors disagree

The statement appeared to be non-committal at first but RBA Governor Michele Bullock turned up the hawkish heat during the media conference.
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
Macro

Australia is at the back end of a major regime change – but that’s not a bad thing for investors

The 50th episode of The Rate Debate focuses on the big risks markets aren't talking about enough.
Darren Langer
Yarra Capital Management
Macro

Markets: We don’t believe you RBA…We expect 3 rate cuts in the next 12 months!

The Reserve Bank chose to keep its cash rate on hold at their August meeting, but market pricing suggests they’re about to cut, and cut big…
Carl Capolingua
Livewire Markets
Education

How experts’ “systematic mispredictions” improve our returns

Their forecasts lure most investors into overconfidence – and thus losses. If you recognise experts’ biases, you can grasp opportunities.
Chris Leithner
Leithner & Company Ltd
Macro

Australian shares at new record highs - is it sustainable?

We slightly increase our expectations for the ASX 200 this year but also anticipate a more volatile, constrained outlook
Shane Oliver
AMP
Macro

Why is Australia talking about rate hikes?

...when the rest of the world is talking about rate cuts?
Diana Mousina
AMP
Macro

How should your portfolio be positioned if the RBA's next move is a hike?

AMP's Shane Oliver and Oreana's Isaac Poole are here to quell your concerns and turn them into opportunities.
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
Fixed Income

A statement of ifs and buts

Will the RBA’s gentler approach continue to work? Find out in this edition of The Rate Debate.
Darren Langer
Yarra Capital Management
Macro

The RBA did not consider a cut at its June meeting - but it did consider a hike

The narrow path to a soft landing, in the RBA Governor's own words, "appears to be getting narrower".
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
Fixed Income

The macro signal this investor watches most closely

State Street Global Advisors’ Simon Mullumby on the macro outlook and the appeal of floating rate bonds
Glenn Freeman
Livewire Markets
Signal or Noise

What will the RBA do next? (And what does it mean for your money?)

The first ever Signal or Noise Economists' Roundtable parses through the key policy issues affecting today's investing environment.
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
Macro

The RBA holds interest rates at 4.35% - but will it rule anything in or out?

Will markets get the change in language they have been yearning for?
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
Macro

Australian inflation was hotter than expected. Here's why

Australian inflation has ticked up - is this a bump in the road or was the end of 2023 the bottom?
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
Macro

Why the RBA won't follow the Federal Reserve (and what it means for your money)

Central banks are starting to splinter, and that has big implications for whatever asset class you are in.
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
Investment Theme

Christopher Joye says this asset class is in trouble

The Coolabah Capital CIO surveyed the global macro environment and revisited some of his biggest calls in this Rules of Investing interview.
Glenn Freeman
Livewire Markets
Asset Allocation

Where to invest if the RBA does or doesn’t cut interest rates

In a confusing and divided economic cycle, we hope this matrix will help make your investing journey easier!
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
Macro

Why we think the RBA is too pessimistic about a key part of inflation

It is the one area of the inflation report that is still too stubborn to come down. But relief may be on the way sooner than the RBA thinks.
Diana Mousina
AMP
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