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state governments
Latest news and analysis on state governments
Macro
1st Nov, 22
Victoria's budget outlook improves on stronger revenue
After posting very large deficits during the pandemic, Victoria's budget has turned around and continues to rapidly improve, with the state government reducing its...
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
1st Nov, 22
Macro
27th Apr, 22
NSW budget tracking up to $7.5bn - $10bn better than expected this financial year
The NSW budget remained close to balance in March and is likely to undershoot the full-year government forecast for 2021-22 (FY2022) by between $7.5 billion and $10...
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
27th Apr, 22
Fixed Income
11th Apr, 22
State budget deficits forecast to be up to $30bn smaller over FY22 and FY23, slashing debt issuance needs
A new report projects that the deficits across the key States will be up to $11 billion smaller in FY22 and up to $18 billion smaller in FY23. Coolabah Capital's...
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
11th Apr, 22
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Macro
30th Mar, 22
Why the NSW Budget could be $9.5bn better off after Commonwealth flood support
The NSW budget remarkably remained close to balance in February, as yesterday's data release shows, providing welcome news for NSW Treasurer Matt Kean. The budget...
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
30th Mar, 22
Macro
28th Mar, 22
Capex delays likely to greatly reduce state borrowing in FY2023 by $8bn to $16bn alone
Our research indicates that issuance of state government debt is likely to be between $8bn and $16bn lower than the market expects in FY2023 (or 2022-23 in budget...
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
28th Mar, 22
Fixed Income
25th Jan, 22
State government bonds transition from RBA QE to bank QE in 2022 and beyond...
Since 2014, banks have typically bought a large chunk of all new State government bond ("semi") issuance, with a peak of 49% in 2020. Our analysis suggests that as a...
Dr Stephen Parker
Coolabah Capital
25th Jan, 22
Fixed Income
27th Oct, 21
Beating APRA's performance test for super funds' fixed-income exposures
Under the hotly contested Your Future, Your Super rules recently introduced by the government, super funds' default products are now subject to an annual performance...
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
27th Oct, 21
Macro
25th Aug, 21
Substantial NSW govt. COVID financial support is tracking well below the weekly budgeted cost
With last year showing the importance of government support in limiting the economic fall-out from the pandemic and contributing to economic recovery, the NSW...
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
25th Aug, 21
Fixed Income
15th Aug, 21
NAB launches first 5-year major bank senior bond issue since January 2020
NAB has launched the first benchmark 5-year major bank senior bond issue since January 2020 (ie, prior to the advent of the COVID-19 crisis). This was consistent with...
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
15th Aug, 21
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