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Latest
Buy Hold Sell
Reporting Season
Series
Buy Hold Sell
Fund in Focus
Income Series
Listed Series
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Rapid Fire
Reporting Season
Signal or Noise
Success and More Interesting Stuff
The Pitch
The Rules of Investing
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Views from the Top
Categories
Asset Allocation
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unemployment
Latest news and analysis on unemployment
Macro
August 13, 2024 08:00
Dark clouds ahead: The rising risk of a US recession
Based on recent developments, we believe the likelihood of a recession occurring within the next 9 to 12 months is more likely than not.
Xinyu Ru
Fawkes Capital Management
August 13, 2024 08:00
Macro
August 05, 2024 17:16
The drivers of higher unemployment across countries
Weaker demand for labour explains higher unemployment in most countries, but Australia's jobless rate has edged up on increased supply.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
August 05, 2024 17:16
Macro
August 05, 2024 08:39
Meeting the Sahm rule recession threshold supports a September Fed rate cut
The US unemployment rate has edged above most estimates of the NAIRU for the first time since 2021, supporting a Fed rate cut next month.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
August 05, 2024 08:39
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Macro
July 11, 2024 17:44
Fed policy, the Sahm rule and the risk of recession
Rising unemployment has almost reached the "Sahm rule" threshold that has historically been a useful guide to US recessions.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
July 11, 2024 17:44
Macro
July 04, 2024 16:06
Risks around a sharp rise in unemployment
Falling job vacancies could see sharp increases in unemployment in the US and UK, while the EA and Australia look further from this point.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
July 04, 2024 16:06
Macro
May 01, 2024 11:24
New Zealand in recession
NZ unemployment continues to rise as employment falls.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
May 01, 2024 11:24
Macro
January 15, 2024 09:00
Earnings season forecasts are diverging at a historic pace
For our first pack of new charts in 2024, we take a deep dive into historic trends.
Macrobond Financial
January 15, 2024 09:00
Fixed Income
November 21, 2023 18:56
Watching grass grow
On fixed rate bond exposure, now is not the time to have zero, but it is not the time to fill your boots.
Charlie Callan
BondAdviser
November 21, 2023 18:56
Macro
October 30, 2023 09:00
Real yields, Taiwanese trade and Bitcoin’s rally
This week’s charts begin with a historic look at US bond returns
Macrobond Financial
October 30, 2023 09:00
Macro
October 19, 2023 16:40
Higher Q3 inflation should see the RBA raise rates
The very tight labour market is still easing a little, ahead of key inflation data next week.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
October 19, 2023 16:40
Macro
August 11, 2023 14:33
Chinese CPI y/y fell -0.3%, US core inflation m/m steady at 0.2%
Weekly Update | 11th August, 2023
Hue Frame
Frame Funds Management
August 11, 2023 14:33
Macro
July 03, 2023 09:01
Charts of the Week - Foreign workers in Japan, equities’ waning appeal and disinflation
This week’s charts begin by visualising the steady increase in foreign workers hosted by historically immigration-averse Japan.
Macrobond Financial
July 03, 2023 09:01
Macro
June 06, 2023 16:03
The RBA hikes again & signals the risk of more to come
The RBA is worried by high inflation and wants to anchor expectations.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
June 06, 2023 16:03
Macro
March 06, 2023 11:48
Charts of the week: European jobs, inflation and the markets, and entrepreneurial women
This week’s charts visualise different effects of inflation
Macrobond Financial
March 06, 2023 11:48
Macro
May 19, 2022 12:54
Why Australia's latest jobs report may not gift a big rate hike in June
Roll up, roll up, we have yet another labour force surprise. But it's not the surprise we are used to. The good news? For the first time since 1974, unemployment is...
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
May 19, 2022 12:54
Macro
May 03, 2022 11:55
A difficult balancing act as the RBA starts raising rates
With the RBA about to start raising rates for the first time since 2010, it will be trying to manage a challenging economic mix of very low unemployment and high...
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
May 03, 2022 11:55
Macro
January 26, 2022 14:05
It was clear the RBA needed to raise rates this year before the inflation data...
The RBA should continue to wind back the policy stimulus delivered during the pandemic when it meets next month. The RBA will stop buying government bonds and there is...
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
January 26, 2022 14:05
Macro
January 21, 2022 07:05
4.2% unemployment points to rate hikes in 2022
The lowest unemployment rate in years raises the risk that the RBA not only stops buying bonds next month (which is now widely expected by market participants) but...
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
January 21, 2022 07:05
Macro
October 13, 2021 08:44
Unemployment benefits show labour market holding up during Delta
The Delta outbreak has seen a big decline in hours worked, a fall in employment and a lower unemployment rate. The Delta outbreak has seen a large hit to activity in...
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
October 13, 2021 08:44
Macro
August 14, 2021 07:25
Closed borders have highlighted Australia’s population Ponzi scheme
Philip Lowe’s recent comments on the impacts of migration were basic economic analysis but hit a raw nerve for those invested in Australia’s population Ponzi scheme....
Jonathan Rochford
Narrow Road Capital
August 14, 2021 07:25
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5 ASX dividend stocks to weather what might be coming next
Chris Conway,
Livewire Markets
Equities
Buy Hold Sell: 5 of the fastest-growing stocks on the ASX for
FY25
Buy Hold Sell,
Livewire Markets
Equities
Why dividend payouts from ASX companies won't crash (and 16 stocks fundies are backing)
Hans Lee,
Livewire Markets
Equities
CSL bleeds $7 billion on FY24 result. Have investors overreacted?
Ally Selby,
Livewire Markets
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